Belgium: Pro LeagueFriday 07 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Club Brugge vKV Kortrijk

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.07 goals expected
Club Brugge 52%Draw 27%KV Kortrijk 21%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
85%

Under 2.5 Goals dominates at 81% probability because both teams combine for just 1.50 expected goals—a low-volume fixture that punishes betting volume.

How we get there
Club BruggestepKV Kortrijk
1.70Base xG · rolling 26-match1.23
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.92Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.15
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
85%
KV Kortrijk or draw
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Club Brugge average 6.4 corners per game at home this season (30 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
5
3
1
1
9
10
6
2
1
2
9
10
6
2
1
3
5
6
4
1
4
3
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Club Brugge fixtures & form →KV Kortrijk fixtures & form →

Club Brugge vs KV Kortrijk — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Club Brugge and KV Kortrijk — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Club Brugge 52% · draw 27% · KV Kortrijk 21%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Club Brugge predictions & form →KV Kortrijk predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Club Brugge 3–0 KV Kortrijk
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.