Colombia vCongo DR
Over 1.5 Goals at 76% is the play—both sides project 2.62 combined xG with Colombia's Luis Díaz and Jhon Durán accounting for over a third of their attacking threat.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Colombia average 4.3 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches). Congo DR average 3.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Colombia vs Congo DR — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Colombia and Congo DR — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Colombia 37% · draw 32% · Congo DR 31%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.