Per-game numbers from 4 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Colombia prediction: Bawler's model rates Colombia at 1.43 expected goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Colombia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Colombia sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.43 expected goals a game and conceding 1.25. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.13 goals a game against 1.43 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Colombia have been correct 50% of the time.
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
How Colombia compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.