FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Columbus Crew 1–2 CF MontréalMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Columbus Crew or draw at 79%. Bawler had Columbus Crew at 54%, the draw at 25% and CF Montréal at 21%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Columbus Crew win
54%
Draw
25%
CF Montréal win
21%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.3 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Columbus Crew or draw
Pre-match: 79%
Missed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.