Bawler / USA: MLS / CF Montréal
Team profile

CF Montréal Prediction

Per-game numbers from 45 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.5
a game
13.3 faced
On target
4.4
a game
4.8 faced
Goals
1.1 – 1.8
scored – conceded
a game, 45 matches
Next match
20%
CF Montréal win chance
at Columbus Crew · Wed 19 Aug 23:30

CF Montréal prediction: for CF Montréal's next match — Columbus Crew vs CF Montréal on Wednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Columbus Crew are favoured (56%).

CF Montréal sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.44 expected goals a game and conceding 1.40. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 5. Next up is a trip to Columbus Crew, where the model has them as underdogs at 20%.

CF Montréal in numbers

45 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
Home 0.9Away 1.3
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.1
Home 5.8Away 4.8
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 13.3
Home 13.8Away 11.1
4.4
On target · per game
faced 4.8
Home 4.6Away 4.2
Last 6 games
15 Aug
1-1
vs D.C. United
5-3
01 Aug
2-2
vs New England Revolution
6-3
25 Jul
0-1
vs Inter Miami
5-6
23 Jul
0-1
@ Nashville
2-3
16 Jul
0-0
vs Toronto
9-3
23 May
4-4
@ D.C. United
4-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Columbus Crew · Wednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Win
20%
CF Montréal
Draw
24%
Loss
56%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How CF Montréal compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.44
Below average
Goals against
1.40
Tighter than most
Record
1W 5D 5L
11 settled
Real goals
1.4 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.44
Conceded1.40

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on CF Montréal fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on CF Montréal

73%
of high-confidence calls correct — 8 of 11, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)57%4/7
Result100%4/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Sun 23 Augvs LA Galaxy

Recent matches (last 10)

Sun 16 Augvs D.C. United
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 02 Augvs New England Revolution
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Julvs Inter Miami CF
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 23 Jul@ Nashville SC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 17 Julvs Toronto FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 May@ D.C. United
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals
Sat 16 Mayvs Chicago Fire FC
High confidence: X2
Thu 14 Mayvs Portland Timbers
High confidence: 1X
Sat 09 Mayvs Orlando City SC
High confidence: 1X
Sun 03 May@ Atlanta United FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INDaniel PereiraDMfrom Austin FC€1.8m
INAlexis SánchezSTfrom Free agentFree transfer
INBrayan CeballosCBfrom New England Revolution€660k
INDagur ThórhallssonRBfrom Orlando City€430k
OUTAleksandr GubogloLBto ReimsLoan
OUTDagur ThórhallssonRBto San Diego FC€440k
OUTKwadwo OpokuLWto PanetolikosFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on CF Montréal and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly