FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Columbus Crew 3–0 Colorado RapidsMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Columbus Crew or draw at 74%. Bawler had Columbus Crew at 49%, the draw at 25% and Colorado Rapids at 26%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Columbus Crew win
49%
Result
Draw
25%
Colorado Rapids win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.2
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Medium confidence
Columbus Crew or draw
Pre-match: 74%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals lands at 80% forecast confidence, anchored by Columbus's 0.53 xG advantage and Diego Rossi's creative wing presence driving 24% of team chances."