Bawler / USA: MLS / Colorado Rapids
Team profile

Colorado Rapids Prediction

Per-game numbers from 45 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.2
a game
13.9 faced
On target
4.0
a game
5.0 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 45 matches
Next match
30%
Colorado Rapids win chance
at San Diego · Sun 23 Aug 02:30

Colorado Rapids prediction: for Colorado Rapids's next match — San Diego vs Colorado Rapids on Sunday 23 Aug, 02:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it San Diego are favoured (40%).

Colorado Rapids sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.57 expected goals a game and conceding 1.29. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.18 goals a game against 1.57 expected. Next up is a trip to San Diego FC, where the model has them as underdogs at 30%.

Colorado Rapids in numbers

45 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.4Away 1.1
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 5.1
Home 6.2Away 4.3
12.2
Shots · per game
faced 13.9
Home 15.2Away 9.1
4.0
On target · per game
faced 5.0
Home 4.8Away 3.3
Last 6 games
16 Aug
2-0
vs Sporting Kansas City
8-2
02 Aug
1-0
vs Austin
11-0
26 Jul
0-1
@ St. Louis CITY
1-10
23 Jul
1-0
vs San Diego
-
24 May
1-2
vs Dallas
5-3
17 May
1-2
@ Real Salt Lake
6-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs San Diego · Sunday 23 Aug, 02:30 UTC

Win
30%
This team
Draw
30%
Loss
40%
San Diego
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Colorado Rapids compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.57
Above average
Goals against
1.29
Tighter than most
Record
5W 0D 6L
11 settled
Real goals
1.2 – 1.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.57
Conceded1.29

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.29 xG per match · -0.16 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Colorado Rapids fixtures (3/3).
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Colorado Rapids matches give the model a harder read here — 3/8 (38%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on Colorado Rapids

55%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 11, below the ~65% baseline — a hard team to read
Goals (Over/Under)38%3/8
Result100%3/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 10)

Sun 16 Augvs Sporting Kansas City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 02 Augvs Austin FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Jul@ St. Louis CITY SC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 23 Julvs San Diego FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 Mayvs FC Dallas
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 May@ Real Salt Lake
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 14 May@ Minnesota United FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 Mayvs St. Louis CITY SC
High confidence: X2
Sun 03 May@ Houston Dynamo FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 18 Aprvs Inter Miami
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INLoïc WilliamsCBfrom Granada€3m
INGeorgi MinoungouLWfrom Seattle Sounders FCFree transfer
INMiguel NavarroLBfrom TalleresLoan
INYoussef MazizAMfrom OH LeuvenFree transfer
INKosi ThompsonRBfrom Toronto FCUndisclosed
OUTLucas HerringtonCBto Hull City€15m
OUTAlexis ManyomaLWto Deportivo CaliLoan
OUTIan MurphyCBto San Diego FCFree transfer
OUTSamuel VinesLBto MLS PoolFree transfer
OUTConnor RonanDMto AberdeenFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Colorado Rapids and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly