How it finished
Uganda beat Congo DR 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Congo DR at 68% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Uganda 10%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Congo DR vs Uganda?
Uganda beat Congo DR 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Congo DR at 68% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Uganda 10%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2.
What was the final score in Congo DR vs Uganda?
Congo DR 0–2 Uganda, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Congo DR 68%, the draw 22% and Uganda 10%.
Did both teams score in Congo DR vs Uganda?
No. It finished 0–2, so Congo DR failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 38% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Congo DR vs Uganda right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Congo DR to win 68%, it finished Uganda won (10% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 38%, it finished No.