EUROPE: Europa League - QualificationThursday 13 Aug, 18:00 UTC

CSKA Sofia vMaccabi Tel-Aviv

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
CSKA Sofia 40%Draw 28%Maccabi Tel-Aviv 32%
Strongest call
CSKA Sofia or Draw
68%
How we get there
CSKA SofiastepMaccabi Tel-Aviv
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
CSKA Sofia or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
CSKA Sofia Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

CSKA Sofia average 3.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Maccabi Tel Aviv average 3.2 corners per game away from home this season (5 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, CSKA Sofia have won 1, Maccabi Tel-Aviv have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Maccabi Tel-Aviv 03 CSKA SofiaEUROPE: Europa League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: CSKA Sofia 40% · draw 28% · Maccabi Tel-Aviv 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
CSKA Sofia 13 Maccabi Tel-Aviv
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.