Czechia vMexico
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 75% because Mexico's 1.60 xG and Santiago Giménez's creative weight give Czechia no margin for error at home.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Mexico average 5.0 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Czechia vs Mexico — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Czechia and Mexico — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Czechia 21% · draw 31% · Mexico 48%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.