Per-game numbers from 5 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Mexico prediction: Bawler's model rates Mexico at 1.53 expected goals scored and 1.19 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 75% of the time. They have won 4 of their last 5 settled matches. No Mexico fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Mexico sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.53 expected goals a game and conceding 1.19. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.53 expected. Recent form is good, with 4 wins in their last 5. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Mexico have been correct 75% of the time.
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
How Mexico compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.