Ecuador vCuraçao
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 75% probability because Ecuador's creator Moisés Caicedo and striker Enner Valencia combine for 34% of team xG in a fixture projecting 2.69 total goals.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Ecuador average 6.0 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Ecuador vs Curaçao — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Ecuador and Curaçao — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Ecuador 40% · draw 32% · Curaçao 29%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.