Egnatia vs Lillestrom prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK
Egnatia 43Draw 25Lillestrom 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
Egnatia or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Egnatia and Lillestrom drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Egnatia at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Egnatia had 10 shots (4 on target) to Lillestrom's 5 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%.

EgnatiaFull-time statsLillestrom
51%Possession49%
10Shots5
4Shots on target2
6Corners4
11Fouls17
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callEgnatia or draw 68%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.10
Both teams to score62%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

EgnatiaLillestrom
1.7
Goals+0.2
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Egnatia to score81%
Lillestrom to score76%
Under 3.5 goals63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Lillestrom in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Egnatia vs Lillestrom?

Egnatia and Lillestrom drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Egnatia at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Egnatia had 10 shots (4 on target) to Lillestrom's 5 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%.

What was the final score in Egnatia vs Lillestrom?

Egnatia 0–0 Lillestrom, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Egnatia 43%, the draw 25% and Lillestrom 32%.

What were the stats in Egnatia vs Lillestrom?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Shots 10–5, Shots on target 4–2, Corners 6–4, Fouls 11–17, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Egnatia vs Lillestrom?

No. It finished 0–0, so Egnatia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Egnatia vs Lillestrom right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Egnatia or draw 68%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Egnatia form →Lillestrom form →