Egypt vIran
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 76% because both sides project nearly identical attacking threat—Egypt 1.33 xG, Iran 1.40—making a low-scoring stalemate unlikely in open play.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Egypt average 4.0 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches). Iran average 2.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Egypt vs Iran — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Egypt and Iran — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Egypt 33% · draw 32% · Iran 36%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.