Bawler / World: World Cup / Iran
Team profile

Iran Prediction

Per-game numbers from 3 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
9.5
a game
19.0 faced
On target
3.5
a game
5.0 faced
Goals
1.0 – 1.0
scored – conceded
a game, 3 matches
Corners
2.0
a game
6.0 against

Iran prediction: Bawler's model rates Iran at 1.50 expected goals scored and 1.19 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Iran fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Iran sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.50 expected goals a game and conceding 1.19. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.83 a game against 1.50 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Iran have been correct 67% of the time.

Iran in numbers

3 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
Home 2.0Away 0.5
2.0
Corners · per game
give up 6.0
Away 2.0
9.5
Shots · per game
faced 19.0
Away 9.5
3.5
On target · per game
faced 5.0
Away 3.5
Last 3 games
27 Jun
1-1
@ Egypt
2-8
21 Jun
0-0
@ Belgium
2-4
16 Jun
2-2
vs New Zealand
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Iran compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.50
Above average
Goals against
1.19
Tighter than most
Record
2W 3D 1L
6 settled
Real goals
1.8 – 0.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.50
Conceded1.19

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.50 xG per match · +0.18 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.19 xG per match · -0.19 vs league average of 1.38.

How Bawler has done on Iran

67%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 6
Goals (Over/Under)60%3/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

More on Iran and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly