FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Falkirk 1–2 RangersMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Rangers or draw at 73%. Bawler had Falkirk at 27%, the draw at 25% and Rangers at 48%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Falkirk win
27%
Draw
25%
Rangers win
48%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.7
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Medium confidence
Rangers or draw
Pre-match: 73%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.