Bawler / SCOTLAND: Premiership / Falkirk

Team profile

Falkirk Prediction

Per-game numbers from 40 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots

11.7

a game

12.4 faced

On target

3.6

a game

4.5 faced

Goals

1.3 – 1.6

scored – conceded

a game, 40 matches

Next match

45%

Falkirk win chance

vs Hearts · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Falkirk prediction: for Falkirk's next match — Falkirk vs Hearts on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Falkirk win looks most likely (45%).

Falkirk defend well, conceding 1.02 expected goals per game — below the Premiership average of 1.40. Next up is Heart of Midlothian, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 45%.

Falkirk in numbers

40 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.3

Goals · per game

let in 1.6

Home 1.6Away 0.9

4.8

Corners · per game

give up 4.8

Home 4.6Away 5.0

11.7

Shots · per game

faced 12.4

Home 12.4Away 10.9

3.6

On target · per game

faced 4.5

Home 3.9Away 3.3

Last 6 games

09 Aug

0-0

@ Motherwell

2-2

01 Aug

0-2

vs St. Mirren

7-7

16 May

2-5

vs Rangers

7-4

13 May

0-3

@ Hearts

5-5

09 May

1-3

vs Hibernian

6-5

02 May

1-0

vs Motherwell

2-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Hearts · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win

45%

Falkirk

Draw

30%

Loss

25%

Hearts

Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Falkirk compare with the SCOTLAND: Premiership average, per match.

Goals for

1.48

Above average

Goals against

1.02

Tighter than most

Scored1.48

Conceded1.02

The grey line on each bar is the SCOTLAND: Premiership average (1.34 scored, 1.40 conceded).

Recent matches (last 2)

Sun 09 Aug@ Motherwell

Win 16%High confidence: 1X

Sat 21 Marvs St. Mirren

Win 45%High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INLewis NeilsonCBfrom HeartsFree transfer

INJoseph GardnerAMfrom Nottingham ForestUndisclosed

INAodhan DohertyRWfrom Blackburn RoversLoan

INJack McMillanDMfrom Exeter CityFree transfer

INRyan StrainRMfrom Dundee UnitedFree transfer

INBen KrauhausAMfrom BrentfordLoan

INScott TanserLMfrom St. MirrenFree transfer

INCraig SibbaldCMfrom Dundee UnitedFree transfer

OUTBarney StewartSTto West Bromwich AlbionUndisclosed

OUTDylan TaitDMto Dundee UnitedFree transfer

OUTCalvin MillerLWto HeartsUndisclosed

OUTBrian GrahamSTto Ross CountyFree transfer

OUTJamie SneddonGKto Queen of the SouthLoan

OUTJay HogarthGKto ClydeLoan

OUTGary OliverSTto MontroseFree transfer

OUTSean MackieLMto ArbroathFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Falkirk Prediction

Falkirk in numbers

Next match

Attack vs defence

Recent matches (last 2)

Transfer activity

More on Falkirk and the model