Bawler / SCOTLAND: Premiership - Championship Group / Rangers
Team profile

Rangers Prediction

Per-game numbers from 55 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
15.3
a game
10.9 faced
On target
5.6
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
1.6 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 55 matches
Next match
55%
Rangers win chance
vs St Mirren · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Rangers prediction: for Rangers's next match — Rangers vs St Mirren on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Rangers win looks most likely (55%).

Rangers defend well, conceding 1.09 expected goals per game — below the Premiership - Championship Group average of 1.40. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.67 a game against 1.29 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 4 of their last 5. Next up is St Mirren, where the model makes them clear favourites at 55%.

Rangers in numbers

55 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 1.7Away 1.6
6.5
Corners · per game
give up 4.0
Home 6.5Away 6.5
15.3
Shots · per game
faced 10.9
Home 16.9Away 13.6
5.6
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 5.8Away 5.4
Last 6 games
15 Aug
2-1
vs Magallanes
2-0
13 Aug
2-4
@ Recoleta
5-8
13 Aug
1-1
vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
6-2
09 Aug
0-0
vs Curico Unido
15-2
09 Aug
1-2
vs Hibernian
7-3
06 Aug
1-2
@ Jagiellonia Bialystok
5-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs St Mirren · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
55%
Rangers
Draw
28%
Loss
17%
St Mirren
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Rangers compare with the SCOTLAND: Premiership - Championship Group average, per match.

Goals for
1.29
Below average
Goals against
1.09
Tighter than most
Record
1W 1D 4L
6 settled
Real goals
1.7 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.29
Conceded1.09

The grey line on each bar is the SCOTLAND: Premiership - Championship Group average (1.40 scored, 1.40 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.09 xG per match · -0.31 vs league average of 1.40.

How Bawler has done on Rangers

67%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 6
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Thu 13 Augvs Jagiellonia Bialystok
High confidence: Under 2.5 Goals
Sun 09 Augvs Hibernian
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 06 Aug@ Jagiellonia Bialystok
High confidence: Under 2.5 Goals
Mon 04 May@ Hearts
High confidence: 1X
Sun 26 Aprvs Motherwell
High confidence: Rangers or Draw (Double Chance)
Sat 21 Marvs Aberdeen
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INVanja DragojevicDMfrom Partizan Beograd€5.5m
INOlwethu MakhanyaCBfrom Philadelphia Union€3.6m
INDaisuke YokotaRWfrom Hannover 96€3.3m
INDaniel NeilDMfrom SunderlandFree transfer
INBen GodfreyCBfrom AtalantaLoan
INIvor PandurGKfrom Hull CityUndisclosed
INLawrence ShanklandSTfrom HeartsFree transfer
INRoss McCrorieRWBfrom Bristol City€1m
OUTMohamed DiomandeDMto Çorum FK€5.5m
OUTOliver AntmanRWto Anderlecht€5.2m
OUTDaniloSTto Botafogo RJLoan
OUTNedim BajramiCMto Al-TaawounLoan
OUTJack ButlandGKto Hull CityUndisclosed
OUTRabbi MatondoLMto BrannFree transfer
OUTBen DaviesCBto Bolton WanderersFree transfer
OUTPaul NsioDMto St. MirrenLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Rangers and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly