FT · GERMANY: Bundesliga · Sunday, 30 August 2026
FC Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 04Match recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was FC Augsburg or draw at 76%. Bawler had FC Augsburg at 53%, the draw at 23% and Schalke 04 at 24%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Augsburg win
53%
Result
Draw
23%
Schalke 04 win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.3
Total 3.2
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.5 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 83%
Landed
Medium confidence
FC Augsburg to win
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.