FC Augsburg beat Schalke 04 3–0. Bawler's model had FC Augsburg in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. FC Augsburg had 24 shots (13 on target) to Schalke 04's 11 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
FC Augsburg beat Schalke 04 3–0. Bawler's model had FC Augsburg in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. FC Augsburg had 24 shots (13 on target) to Schalke 04's 11 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 1.5.
FC Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 04, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the GERMANY: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Augsburg 53%, the draw 23% and Schalke 04 24%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 3.5–1.5, Shots 24–11, Shots on target 13–5, Shots inside box 18–7, Big chances 9–3, Corners 11–3, Saves 4–10, Fouls 5–6, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–0, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 3–0, so Schalke 04 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Augsburg or draw 76%, it finished FC Augsburg won (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said FC Augsburg to win 53%, it finished Landed.