FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 prediction — Bundesliga · Sun 30 Aug · 16:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sun 30 Aug · 16:30 UK
FC Augsburg 53Draw 23Schalke 04 24
Our call before kickoff
76%
FC Augsburg or draw
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

FC Augsburg beat Schalke 04 3–0. Bawler's model had FC Augsburg in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. FC Augsburg had 24 shots (13 on target) to Schalke 04's 11 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 1.5.

FC AugsburgFull-time statsSchalke 04
47%Possession53%
3.5Expected goals (xG)1.5
24Shots11
13Shots on target5
18Shots inside box7
9Big chances3
11Corners3
4Saves10
5Fouls6
3Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Augsburg or draw 76%FC Augsburg won (53% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score62%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 83%Landed
Second pickFC Augsburg to win 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC AugsburgSchalke 04
2.0
Goals+0.7
1.3
13.0
Shots+2.3
10.7
5.1
On target+1.8
3.3
5.3
Corners+0.3
5.6
FC AugsburgSchalke 04
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
6.0
Shots+1.2
4.9
2.2
On target+0.7
1.5
2.5
Corners+0.1
2.7
FC AugsburgSchalke 04
1.4
Goals+0.6
0.8
7.0
Shots+1.1
5.8
2.9
On target+1.1
1.8
2.8
Corners+0.2
3.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
FC Augsburg to score86%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Schalke 04 to score72%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

FC Augsburg
55%
to score before half-time
Schalke 04
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

FC AugsburgSchalke 04
6.01st-half shots4.9
2.21st-half shots on target1.5
2.51st-half corners2.7

First-half chances

66%Chance of 5+ shots50%
40%Chance of 7+ shots25%
86%Chance of 1+ shots on target73%
37%Chance of 3+ shots on target20%
66%Chance of 2+ corners69%
26%Chance of 4+ corners29%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · FC Augsburg6.07.0
Shots · Schalke 044.95.8
Shots on target · FC Augsburg2.22.9
Shots on target · Schalke 041.51.8
Corners · FC Augsburg2.52.8
Corners · Schalke 042.73.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Schalke 04 in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Oct 2024Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 04
Mar 2023Augsburg 1–1 Schalke 04
Oct 2022Schalke 04 2–3 Augsburg
Jul 2022Schalke 04 1–1 Augsburg
Apr 2021Schalke 04 1–0 Augsburg
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

FC Augsburg beat Schalke 04 3–0. Bawler's model had FC Augsburg in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. FC Augsburg had 24 shots (13 on target) to Schalke 04's 11 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 1.5.

What was the final score in FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

FC Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 04, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the GERMANY: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Augsburg 53%, the draw 23% and Schalke 04 24%.

What were the stats in FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 3.5–1.5, Shots 24–11, Shots on target 13–5, Shots inside box 18–7, Big chances 9–3, Corners 11–3, Saves 4–10, Fouls 5–6, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–0, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

No. It finished 3–0, so Schalke 04 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Augsburg or draw 76%, it finished FC Augsburg won (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said FC Augsburg to win 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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