Bawler / Germany: Bundesliga / Augsburg
Team profile

Augsburg Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.2
a game
14.8 faced
On target
4.6
a game
5.0 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.8
scored – conceded
a game, 34 matches
Corners
4.6
a game
5.6 against

Augsburg prediction: Bawler's model rates Augsburg at 1.43 expected goals scored and 1.93 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. Their last 4 settled matches read 2W 0D 2L. No Augsburg fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Augsburg sit close to the Bundesliga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.43 expected goals a game and conceding 1.93. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Augsburg have been correct 100% of the time.

Augsburg in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
Home 1.5Away 1.2
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.6
Home 5.2Away 4.0
13.2
Shots · per game
faced 14.8
Home 13.2Away 13.2
4.6
On target · per game
faced 5.0
Home 5.1Away 4.2
Last 6 games
16 May
0-4
@ Union Berlin
9-4
09 May
3-1
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
2-2
02 May
3-1
@ Werder Bremen
2-8
25 Apr
1-1
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
9-7
18 Apr
2-1
@ Bayer Leverkusen
4-11
10 Apr
2-2
vs Hoffenheim
4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Augsburg compare with the Germany: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.43
Below average
Goals against
1.93
Leakier than most
Record
2W 0D 2L
4 settled
Real goals
1.8 – 2.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.43
Conceded1.93

The grey line on each bar is the Germany: Bundesliga average (1.60 scored, 1.77 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.43 xG per match · -0.17 above the Germany: Bundesliga average of 1.60.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.93 xG per match · +0.16 vs league average of 1.77.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Augsburg fixtures (4/4).

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INRodrigo RibeiroSTfrom Sporting CP€5m
INHennes BehrensLBfrom Hoffenheim€3.5m
INSima SusoCBfrom Fortuna Düsseldorf€1.6m
INCalvin BrackelmannCBfrom PaderbornFree transfer
INMichael GregoritschSTfrom Brøndby IF€500k
INFaik Sakarfrom RB LeipzigFree transfer
INTom Wisbereitfrom Union BerlinFree transfer
OUTDimitrios GiannoulisLWBto PAOK Thessaloniki€4.3m
OUTCédric ZesigerCBto Young Boys€3.5m
OUTElvis RexhbeçajCMto WolfsburgFree transfer
OUTMarcel LubikGKto Wisła KrakówLoan
OUTElias SaadLWto Nashville SCLoan
OUTYusuf KabadayiLMto RijekaLoan
OUTAiman DardariLMto RW EssenLoan
OUTKyliane DongSTto Bolton WanderersLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Augsburg and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly