Augsburg
Augsburg operate as a low-volume attacking side that concede consistently, averaging 1.43 xG for and 1.93 against per match. Recent form shows volatility—two wins bookended by losses across their last four settled fixtures—reflecting their underlying profile of limited attacking threat paired with defensive fragility. With no imminent fixtures in the current window, the model remains primed for their next outing. Bawler's banker picks on Augsburg have maintained a perfect 100% hit rate across four selections, validating the precision of the Poisson framework on this side's predictable structural weaknesses.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Augsburg were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Germany: Bundesliga average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Augsburg are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Augsburg actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Augsburg's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.