EUROPE: Conference League - QualificationThursday 13 Aug, 16:00 UTC

FC Ilves vRijeka

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
FC Ilves 40%Draw 28%Rijeka 32%
Strongest call
FC Ilves or Draw
68%
How we get there
FC IlvesstepRijeka
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
FC Ilves or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
FC Ilves Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Ilves average 4.0 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Rijeka average 3.0 corners per game away from home this season (6 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

FC Ilves fixtures & form →Rijeka fixtures & form →

Ilves vs Rijeka — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, Ilves have won 0, Rijeka have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Rijeka 1–0 IlvesEUROPE: Conference League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Ilves 40% · draw 28% · Rijeka 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Ilves predictions & form →Rijeka predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
FC Ilves 1–1 Rijeka
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.