Europe: Europa League - QualificationThursday 06 Aug, 16:00 UTC

Jagiellonia Bialystok vRangers

Most likely scoreline
0–0
21% of the time · 1.56 goals expected
Jagiellonia Bialystok 33%Draw 40%Rangers 27%
Strongest call
Under 2.5 goals
82%

Under 2.5 Goals at 93% is the play here—both sides project just 0.50 xG each, making a low-scoring Europa League qualifier the smart layoff.

How we get there
Jagiellonia BialystokstepRangers
0.74Base xG · rolling 26-match0.77
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
0.83Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.73
Most likely outcomes
Under 2.5 goals
82%
Draw
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Rangers average 6.5 corners per game away from home this season (28 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
21
15
6
1
1
18
13
5
1
2
7
5
2
3
2
1
1
4
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Jagiellonia Bialystok fixtures & form →Rangers fixtures & form →

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rangers — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rangers — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Jagiellonia Bialystok 33% · draw 40% · Rangers 27%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Jagiellonia Bialystok predictions & form →Rangers predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2–1 Rangers
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.