Jordan vs Syria prediction — International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 18:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 18:00 UK · Neutral venue
Jordan 48Draw 25Syria 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
Jordan or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Jordan and Syria drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Jordan at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Jordan had 10 shots (3 on target) to Syria's 5 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%.

JordanFull-time statsSyria
61%Possession39%
10Shots5
3Shots on target2
8Corners3
11Fouls7
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callJordan or draw 73%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

JordanSyria
1.7
Goals+0.5
1.2
JordanSyria
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
JordanSyria
1.2
Goals+0.4
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Jordan to score82%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Syria to score71%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Jordan
53%
to score before half-time
Syria
42%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Jordan 2 · Draws 0 · Syria 0

Head to head

Jan 2019Jordan 2–0 Syria
Jan 2011Jordan 2–1 Syria
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Jordan vs Syria?

Jordan and Syria drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Jordan at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Jordan had 10 shots (3 on target) to Syria's 5 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%.

What was the final score in Jordan vs Syria?

Jordan 1–1 Syria, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Jordan 48%, the draw 25% and Syria 27%.

What were the stats in Jordan vs Syria?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Shots 10–5, Shots on target 3–2, Corners 8–3, Fouls 11–7, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Jordan vs Syria?

Yes — both Jordan and Syria scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Jordan vs Syria right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Jordan or draw 73%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Jordan form →Syria form →