FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Sunday, 30 August 2026
KAA Gent 2–1 Club BruggeMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Club Brugge or draw at 75%. Bawler had KAA Gent at 25%, the draw at 23% and Club Brugge at 51%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
KAA Gent win
25%
Result
Draw
23%
Club Brugge win
51%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 2.0
Total 3.3
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Landed
Medium confidence
Club Brugge to win
Pre-match: 51%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.