KAA Gent beat Club Brugge 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Club Brugge at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 25%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. KAA Gent had 13 shots (8 on target) to Club Brugge's 8 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
KAA Gent beat Club Brugge 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Club Brugge at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 25%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. KAA Gent had 13 shots (8 on target) to Club Brugge's 8 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.7.
KAA Gent 2–1 Club Brugge, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KAA Gent 25%, the draw 23% and Club Brugge 51%.
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.7, Shots 13–8, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 4–1, Corners 1–5, Saves 2–6, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 3–3, Red cards 1–1.
Yes — both KAA Gent and Club Brugge scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Club Brugge or draw 75%, it finished KAA Gent won (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Club Brugge to win 51%, it finished Missed.