KAA Gent vs Club Brugge prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 12:30 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 12:30 UK
KAA Gent 25Draw 23Club Brugge 51
Our call before kickoff
75%
Club Brugge or draw
Missed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
63%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

KAA Gent beat Club Brugge 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Club Brugge at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 25%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. KAA Gent had 13 shots (8 on target) to Club Brugge's 8 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.7.

KAA GentFull-time statsClub Brugge
37%Possession63%
1.4Expected goals (xG)0.7
13Shots8
8Shots on target3
9Shots inside box5
4Big chances1
1Corners5
2Saves6
14Fouls10
0Offsides0
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callClub Brugge or draw 75%KAA Gent won (25% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score63%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed
Second pickClub Brugge to win 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KAA GentClub Brugge
1.3
Goals+0.6
2.0
13.6
Shots+4.8
8.8
4.3
On target+0.7
3.6
5.3
Corners+2.0
3.3
KAA GentClub Brugge
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
6.2
Shots+2.4
3.8
1.9
On target+0.4
1.5
2.5
Corners+0.9
1.6
KAA GentClub Brugge
0.9
Goals+0.5
1.4
7.4
Shots+2.4
5.0
2.4
On target+0.3
2.1
2.8
Corners+1.1
1.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Club Brugge to score86%
Over 1.5 goals84%
KAA Gent to score73%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

KAA Gent
44%
to score before half-time
Club Brugge
55%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

KAA GentClub Brugge
6.21st-half shots3.8
1.91st-half shots on target1.5
2.51st-half corners1.6

First-half chances

68%Chance of 5+ shots33%
42%Chance of 7+ shots13%
82%Chance of 1+ shots on target74%
31%Chance of 3+ shots on target21%
66%Chance of 2+ corners43%
26%Chance of 4+ corners10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · KAA Gent6.27.4
Shots · Club Brugge3.85.0
Shots on target · KAA Gent1.92.4
Shots on target · Club Brugge1.52.1
Corners · KAA Gent2.52.8
Corners · Club Brugge1.61.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.6 / match
Club Brugge in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KAA Gent vs Club Brugge?

KAA Gent beat Club Brugge 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Club Brugge at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 25%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. KAA Gent had 13 shots (8 on target) to Club Brugge's 8 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.7.

What was the final score in KAA Gent vs Club Brugge?

KAA Gent 2–1 Club Brugge, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KAA Gent 25%, the draw 23% and Club Brugge 51%.

What were the stats in KAA Gent vs Club Brugge?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.7, Shots 13–8, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 4–1, Corners 1–5, Saves 2–6, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 3–3, Red cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in KAA Gent vs Club Brugge?

Yes — both KAA Gent and Club Brugge scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KAA Gent vs Club Brugge right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Club Brugge or draw 75%, it finished KAA Gent won (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Club Brugge to win 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →KAA Gent form →Club Brugge form →