FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026
KF Shkëndija 0–0 HibernianMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had KF Shkëndija at 38%, draw at 36%, Hibernian at 26%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-0. The model's headline call was KF Shkëndija to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Shkëndija win
38%
Draw
36%
Actual ✓
Hibernian win
26%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 73%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 27%
✗ Lost