FT · Belgium: Pro League · Saturday, 05 September 2026
KV Mechelen 0–4 KVC WesterloMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 05 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was KV Mechelen or draw at 64%. Bawler had KV Mechelen at 38%, the draw at 25% and KVC Westerlo at 36%. The match finished 0–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
KV Mechelen win
38%
Draw
25%
KVC Westerlo win
36%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.5
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 4
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 2.4
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 82%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 82% as both sides generate nearly identical attacking threat—Mechelen 1.59 xG and Westerlo 1.54—making a low-scoring stalemate unlikely."