KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 17:15 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 17:15 UK
KV Mechelen 38Draw 25KVC Westerlo 36
Our call before kickoff
64%
KV Mechelen or draw
Missed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–4
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
63%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

KVC Westerlo beat KV Mechelen 4–0. Bawler's model favoured KV Mechelen at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KVC Westerlo 36%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. KV Mechelen had 8 shots (1 on target) to KVC Westerlo's 21 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.4.

KV MechelenFull-time statsKVC Westerlo
56%Possession44%
0.6Expected goals (xG)2.4
8Shots21
1Shots on target6
7Shots inside box16
0Big chances5
5Corners6
1Saves2
15Fouls18
2Offsides1
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callKV Mechelen or draw 64%KVC Westerlo won (36% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score63%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KV MechelenKVC Westerlo
1.6
Goals
1.5
21.5
Shots+3.8
17.7
5.1
On target
5.1
5.1
Corners+0.8
4.3
KV MechelenKVC Westerlo
0.5
Goals
0.5
9.1
Shots+1.1
8.1
2.1
On target+0.2
2.3
2.4
Corners+0.4
2.0
KV MechelenKVC Westerlo
1.1
Goals
1.0
12.4
Shots+2.7
9.6
3.0
On target+0.2
2.8
2.7
Corners+0.4
2.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals82%
KV Mechelen to score80%
KVC Westerlo to score79%
Under 3.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

KV Mechelen
53%
to score before half-time
KVC Westerlo
49%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

KV MechelenKVC Westerlo
9.11st-half shots8.1
2.11st-half shots on target2.3
2.41st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

64%Chance of 8+ shots52%
43%Chance of 10+ shots32%
84%Chance of 1+ shots on target87%
35%Chance of 3+ shots on target39%
86%Chance of 1+ corners82%
41%Chance of 3+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · KV Mechelen9.112.4
Shots · KVC Westerlo8.19.6
Shots on target · KV Mechelen2.13.0
Shots on target · KVC Westerlo2.32.8
Corners · KV Mechelen2.42.7
Corners · KVC Westerlo2.02.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5KV Mechelen 1 · Draws 3 · KVC Westerlo 1
KVC Westerlo in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jan 2026KV Mechelen 1–1 Westerlo
Aug 2025Westerlo 0–1 KV Mechelen
Apr 2025Westerlo 2–2 KV Mechelen
Apr 2025KV Mechelen 2–3 Westerlo
Dec 2024Westerlo 1–1 KV Mechelen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo?

KVC Westerlo beat KV Mechelen 4–0. Bawler's model favoured KV Mechelen at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KVC Westerlo 36%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. KV Mechelen had 8 shots (1 on target) to KVC Westerlo's 21 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.4.

What was the final score in KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo?

KV Mechelen 0–4 KVC Westerlo, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KV Mechelen 38%, the draw 25% and KVC Westerlo 36%.

What were the stats in KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–2.4, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 1–6, Shots inside box 7–16, Big chances 0–5, Corners 5–6, Saves 1–2, Fouls 15–18, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo?

No. It finished 0–4, so KV Mechelen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said KV Mechelen or draw 64%, it finished KVC Westerlo won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →KV Mechelen form →KVC Westerlo form →