Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / KV Mechelen
Team profile

KV Mechelen Prediction

Per-game numbers from 43 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
9.6
a game
14.9 faced
On target
3.4
a game
5.5 faced
Goals
1.1 – 1.6
scored – conceded
a game, 43 matches
Corners
4.4
a game
5.7 against

KV Mechelen prediction: Bawler's model rates KV Mechelen at 1.35 expected goals scored and 1.71 conceded per match across 9 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 78% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No KV Mechelen fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

KV Mechelen sit close to the Pro League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.35 expected goals a game and conceding 1.71. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.35 expected. Across 9 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on KV Mechelen have been correct 78% of the time.

KV Mechelen in numbers

43 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
Home 1.2Away 1.0
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 5.7
Home 4.3Away 4.4
9.6
Shots · per game
faced 14.9
Home 10.6Away 8.6
3.4
On target · per game
faced 5.5
Home 3.5Away 3.3
Last 6 games
09 Aug
0-2
@ Gent
-
09 Aug
0-2
@ KAA Gent
1-4
24 May
0-3
@ St.Truiden
2-2
21 May
2-2
vs Club Brugge
3-5
17 May
2-2
@ Anderlecht
2-2
10 May
0-3
@ Royale Union SG
3-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How KV Mechelen compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.35
Below average
Goals against
1.71
Leakier than most
Record
1W 3D 5L
9 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 2.2
For / against, per match
Scored1.35
Conceded1.71

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.57 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.35 xG per match · -0.22 above the Belgium: Pro League average of 1.57.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 86% of the time on KV Mechelen fixtures (6/7).

How Bawler has done on KV Mechelen

78%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 9, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)86%6/7

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 9)

Transfer activity

INLeo HjeldeCBfrom SunderlandUndisclosed
INKobe CorbanieRBfrom Royal AntwerpFree transfer
INLuc MarijnissenCBfrom FCV Dender EHUndisclosed
INCedric Van MeirvenneLMfrom Lierse€1m
INDennis PraetDMfrom Free agentFree transfer
INAdeshina Ayodelefrom Le LOSCUndisclosed
OUTMathis ServaisDMto Millwall€6m
OUTRedouane HalhalCBto Venezia€5m
OUTKerim MrabtiAMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTMauro LenaertsSTto Helmond SportLoan
OUTElton YeboahLWBto LierseFree transfer
OUTMory KonatéCBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTHassane BandéRWto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on KV Mechelen and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly