How it finished
RB Salzburg beat Levski Sofia 1–0. Bawler's model had RB Salzburg in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Levski Sofia had 14 shots (0 on target) to RB Salzburg's 12 (7), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?
RB Salzburg beat Levski Sofia 1–0. Bawler's model had RB Salzburg in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Levski Sofia had 14 shots (0 on target) to RB Salzburg's 12 (7), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?
Levski Sofia 0–1 RB Salzburg, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Levski Sofia 34%, the draw 25% and RB Salzburg 41%.
What were the stats in Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.4, Shots 14–12, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 1–4, Corners 5–4, Saves 6–0, Fouls 9–21, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–5.
Did both teams score in Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?
No. It finished 0–1, so Levski Sofia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said RB Salzburg or draw 66%, it finished RB Salzburg won (41% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed.