Lillestrom vs Egnatia prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 18:00 UK
Lillestrom 49Draw 24Egnatia 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
Lillestrom or draw
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
63%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Lillestrom beat Egnatia 2–1. Bawler's model had Lillestrom in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Lillestrom had 16 shots (4 on target) to Egnatia's 22 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%.

LillestromFull-time statsEgnatia
57%Possession43%
16Shots22
4Shots on target4
9Corners8
18Fouls9
1Offsides3
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLillestrom or draw 72%Lillestrom won (49% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score63%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LillestromEgnatia
1.9
Goals+0.5
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Lillestrom to score85%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Egnatia to score75%
Over 2.5 goals63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Egnatia in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lillestrom vs Egnatia?

Lillestrom beat Egnatia 2–1. Bawler's model had Lillestrom in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Lillestrom had 16 shots (4 on target) to Egnatia's 22 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%.

What was the final score in Lillestrom vs Egnatia?

Lillestrom 2–1 Egnatia, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lillestrom 49%, the draw 24% and Egnatia 28%.

What were the stats in Lillestrom vs Egnatia?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Shots 16–22, Shots on target 4–4, Corners 9–8, Fouls 18–9, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Lillestrom vs Egnatia?

Yes — both Lillestrom and Egnatia scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lillestrom vs Egnatia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lillestrom or draw 72%, it finished Lillestrom won (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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