Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Wednesday 01 Jul, 01:00 UTC

Mexico vs Ecuador — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 81.2% · @ 1.23
DARK HORSE
Over 3.5 goals
Model 26.4% · @ 3.78
BAWL OUT
Mexico or draw + Raúl Jiménez 1+ Shot on Target + Over 2.5 goals + Fewer than 11 corners
Model 27.7% · @ 3.61x

Star picks · player props

top 3
Anytime Scorer
Santiago Giménez
Mexico · AC Milan
42%@ 2.38x fair
Anytime Scorer
Raúl Jiménez
Mexico · Fulham
40%@ 2.50x fair
To Be Booked
Edson Álvarez
Mexico · Fenerbahçe
27%@ 3.70x fair
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Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly