FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln CityMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 15 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Middlesbrough at 50%, draw at 31%, Lincoln City at 19%. The match ended 2-1 — confirming the model's lean toward Middlesbrough.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Middlesbrough win
50%
Actual ✓
Draw
31%
City win
19%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 77%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 53%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost