Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough operate as a controlled, balanced outfit—mildly creative in attack (1.44 xG per match) with a moderately solid backline (1.30 xG conceded)—yet form has stalled considerably, yielding just three draws and two losses across their last five. The underlying metrics suggest a team capable of grinding results but currently lacking clinical edge in either phase. With no fixture on the immediate horizon, focus shifts to assessing their next assignment through Bawler's Poisson lens; the model has flagged their matches accurately 60% of the time recently, signalling reliable read on their constrained attacking ceiling.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Middlesbrough were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the England: Championship average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Middlesbrough are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Middlesbrough actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Middlesbrough's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Middlesbrough fixture, the model lands 3 out of 6 (50%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Middlesbrough fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Middlesbrough matches.