EUROPE: Champions League - QualificationTuesday 11 Aug, 18:15 UTC

NK Celje vArarat-Armenia

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
NK Celje 40%Draw 28%Ararat-Armenia 32%
Strongest call
NK Celje or Draw
68%
How we get there
NK CeljestepArarat-Armenia
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
NK Celje or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
NK Celje Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

NK Celje average 7.3 corners per game at home this season (6 competitive matches). Ararat-Armenia average 7.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

NK Celje fixtures & form →Ararat-Armenia fixtures & form →

NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 4 August 2026, NK Celje have won 0, Ararat-Armenia have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
4 August 2026Ararat-Armenia 2–1 NK CeljeEurope: Champions League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: NK Celje 40% · draw 28% · Ararat-Armenia 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

NK Celje predictions & form →Ararat-Armenia predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
NK Celje 2–0 Ararat-Armenia
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.