FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Norwich City 1–2 West Bromwich AlbionMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Norwich City
1–2
West Bromwich Albion win
West Bromwich Albion

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was Norwich City or draw at 75%. Bawler had Norwich City at 43%, the draw at 32% and West Bromwich Albion at 25%. The match finished 1–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Norwich City win
43%
Draw
32%
West Bromwich Albion win
25%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.5 – 1.1
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.7 – 1.5
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.6.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 78%
Landed
Medium confidence
Not both teams to score
Pre-match: 51%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 22%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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