ENGLAND: ChampionshipSaturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Norwich City vWest Bromwich Albion

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Norwich City 43%Draw 32%West Bromwich Albion 25%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
78%
How we get there
Norwich CitystepWest Bromwich Albion
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Not both teams to score
51%
Over 3.5 goals
22%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Norwich average 5.9 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). West Brom average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Norwich vs West Brom — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Norwich and West Brom — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Norwich 43% · draw 32% · West Brom 25%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Norwich City 12 West Bromwich Albion
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.