Europe: Champions League - QualificationTuesday 04 Aug, 18:00 UTC

Olympiacos vNEC Nijmegen

Most likely scoreline
0–0
18% of the time · 1.70 goals expected
Olympiacos 34%Draw 40%NEC Nijmegen 26%
Strongest call
Under 2.5 goals
79%

Under 2.5 Goals dominates at 79% probability because combined expected goals of just 1.70 leaves little margin for a multi-goal affair.

How we get there
OlympiacosstepNEC Nijmegen
0.82Base xG · rolling 26-match0.82
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
0.93Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.77
Most likely outcomes
Under 2.5 goals
79%
Draw
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Olympiacos average 4.2 corners per game at home this season (6 competitive matches). Nijmegen average 5.1 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
18
14
5
1
1
17
13
5
1
2
8
6
2
1
3
2
2
1
4
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Olympiacos fixtures & form →NEC Nijmegen fixtures & form →

Olympiacos vs Nijmegen — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Olympiacos and Nijmegen — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Olympiacos 34% · draw 40% · Nijmegen 26%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Olympiacos predictions & form →Nijmegen predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Olympiacos 0–0 NEC Nijmegen
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.