Bawler / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / Nijmegen
Team profile

Nijmegen Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
16.9
a game
10.9 faced
On target
6.5
a game
4.7 faced
Goals
2.2 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
35%
Nijmegen win chance
vs Bodo/Glimt · Wed 19 Aug 19:00

Nijmegen prediction: for Nijmegen's next match — Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt on Wednesday 19 Aug, 19:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Bodo/Glimt are favoured (35%).

Nijmegen carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.84 expected goals per game against an Eredivisie average of 1.42. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.50 goals a game against 1.84 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is Bodo/Glimt, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 35%.

Nijmegen in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 2.3Away 2.1
6.0
Corners · per game
give up 3.9
Home 6.8Away 5.1
16.9
Shots · per game
faced 10.9
Home 17.9Away 15.8
6.5
On target · per game
faced 4.7
Home 6.3Away 6.7
Last 6 games
15 Aug
4-1
@ Willem II
2-1
11 Aug
2-1
vs Olympiacos
-
08 Aug
1-2
vs Telstar
13-3
04 Aug
0-0
@ Olympiacos
2-5
17 May
2-1
vs Go Ahead Eagles
13-4
10 May
1-2
@ Groningen
6-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Bodo/Glimt · Wednesday 19 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Win
35%
Nijmegen
Draw
30%
Loss
35%
Bodo/Glimt
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Nijmegen compare with the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for
1.84
Above average
Goals against
1.50
Tighter than most
Record
3W 2D 3L
8 settled
Real goals
1.5 – 1.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.84
Conceded1.50

The grey line on each bar is the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average (1.42 scored, 1.53 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.84 xG per match · +0.42 above the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average of 1.42.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 88% of the time on Nijmegen fixtures (7/8).

How Bawler has done on Nijmegen

88%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 8, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)88%7/8

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Sat 22 Augvs Excelsior
Tue 25 Aug@ Bodo/Glimt

Recent matches (last 8)

Sat 15 Aug@ Willem II
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Tue 11 Augvs Olympiacos
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Augvs Telstar
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Tue 04 Aug@ Olympiacos
High confidence: Under 2.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Go Ahead Eagles
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 May@ FC Groningen
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 02 Mayvs Telstar
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 22 Marvs Heerenveen
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Nijmegen and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly