EUROPE: Europa League - QualificationThursday 13 Aug, 17:00 UTC

Omonia Nicosia vLincoln Red Imps

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Omonia Nicosia 76%Draw 17%Lincoln Red Imps 7%
Strongest call
Omonia Nicosia to win
80%
How we get there
Omonia NicosiastepLincoln Red Imps
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Omonia Nicosia to win
80%
Over 3.5 goals
30%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Omonia Nicosia average 5.2 corners per game at home this season (5 competitive matches). Lincoln Red Imps average 2.3 corners per game away from home this season (4 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, Omonia Nicosia have won 0, Lincoln Red Imps have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Lincoln Red Imps 11 Omonia NicosiaEurope: Europa League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Omonia Nicosia 76% · draw 17% · Lincoln Red Imps 7%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Omonia Nicosia 10 Lincoln Red Imps
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.