Panama vEngland
Over 2.5 Goals sits at 75% probability because England's 2.13 xG paired with Kane's 22% team creation share and Panama's 0.76 xG output creates a 1.37-goal gap that favors high-scoring play.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Panama average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). England average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Panama vs England — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Panama and England — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Panama 11% · draw 23% · England 66%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.