Per-game numbers from 8 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
England prediction: Bawler's model rates England at 1.61 expected goals scored and 1.17 conceded per match across 12 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. They have won 4 of their last 5 settled matches. No England fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
England carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.61 expected goals per game against a World Cup average of 1.33. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.08 a game against 1.61 expected. Recent form is good, with 4 wins in their last 5. Across 12 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on England have been correct 67% of the time.
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
How England compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.