Peterborough United vs Barnsley prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 15 Sept · 19:30 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 15 Sept · 19:30 UK
Peterborough United 46Draw 26Barnsley 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
Peterborough United or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Peterborough United and Barnsley drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Peterborough United at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Peterborough United had 17 shots (9 on target) to Barnsley's 28 (15), with 53% of the ball against 47%.

Peterborough…Full-time statsBarnsley
53%Possession47%
17Shots28
9Shots on target15
7Corners1
11Saves6
14Fouls14
0Offsides1
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPeterborough United or draw 72%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.96
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Peterborough UnitedBarnsley
1.7
Goals+0.4
1.3
Peterborough UnitedBarnsley
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
Peterborough UnitedBarnsley
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Peterborough United to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Barnsley to score72%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Peterborough United
52%
to score before half-time
Barnsley
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Peterborough United 0 · Draws 1 · Barnsley 4

Head to head

Feb 2026Barnsley 2–1 Peterborough United
Dec 2025Peterborough United 0–1 Barnsley
Aug 2025Peterborough United 0–1 Barnsley
Apr 2025Barnsley 1–1 Peterborough United
Dec 2024Peterborough United 1–3 Barnsley
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Peterborough United and Barnsley drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Peterborough United at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Peterborough United had 17 shots (9 on target) to Barnsley's 28 (15), with 53% of the ball against 47%.

What was the final score in Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Peterborough United 3–3 Barnsley, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Peterborough United 46%, the draw 26% and Barnsley 28%.

What were the stats in Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Shots 17–28, Shots on target 9–15, Corners 7–1, Saves 11–6, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–3.

Was Bawler's prediction for Peterborough United vs Barnsley right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Peterborough United or draw 72%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Peterborough United
Before this
25 AugAWatford5–1 W
Next up
27 OctABradford City19:45
All fixtures & results →Peterborough United form →Barnsley form →