Peterborough United and Barnsley drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Peterborough United at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Peterborough United had 17 shots (9 on target) to Barnsley's 28 (15), with 53% of the ball against 47%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Peterborough United and Barnsley drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Peterborough United at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Peterborough United had 17 shots (9 on target) to Barnsley's 28 (15), with 53% of the ball against 47%.
Peterborough United 3–3 Barnsley, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Peterborough United 46%, the draw 26% and Barnsley 28%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Shots 17–28, Shots on target 9–15, Corners 7–1, Saves 11–6, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Peterborough United or draw 72%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.