FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 05 September 2026

Preston North End 2–1 Blackburn RoversMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 05 September 2026

Preston North End
2–1
Preston North End win
Blackburn Rovers

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Preston North End or draw at 65%. Bawler had Preston North End at 38%, the draw at 28% and Blackburn Rovers at 35%. The match finished 2–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Preston North End win
38%
Result
Draw
28%
Blackburn Rovers win
35%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.4 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.7
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Blackburn's survival desperation clashes with Preston's comfort in mid-table, but narrow xG parity (1.37 vs 1.34) and balanced win odds project a competitive fixture where Over 1.5 Goals hits 75% probability."

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