Preston North End beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1. Bawler's model had Preston North End in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Preston North End had 8 shots (3 on target) to Blackburn Rovers' 12 (5), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Preston North End beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1. Bawler's model had Preston North End in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Preston North End had 8 shots (3 on target) to Blackburn Rovers' 12 (5), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.7.
Preston North End 2–1 Blackburn Rovers, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 38%, the draw 28% and Blackburn Rovers 35%.
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.7, Shots 8–12, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 5–6, Big chances 2–2, Corners 3–11, Saves 5–1, Fouls 11–9, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 4–2.
Yes — both Preston North End and Blackburn Rovers scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Preston North End or draw 65%, it finished Preston North End won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.