Queens Park Rangers v
Millwall
Over 1.5 Goals dominates at 74% probability because QPR's 0.54 expected-goals edge and combined 2.67 xG total point to a genuinely open match that rarely stays below two goals.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
QPR average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Millwall average 5.1 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
QPR vs Millwall — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between QPR and Millwall — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: QPR 47% · draw 31% · Millwall 23%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.