FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Racing Genk 3–2 KVC WesterloMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Racing Genk or draw at 86%. Bawler had Racing Genk at 59%, the draw at 27% and KVC Westerlo at 14%. The match finished 3–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Racing Genk win
59%
Result
Draw
27%
KVC Westerlo win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 0.8
Total 2.7
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
4.2 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Racing Genk to win
Pre-match: 81%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 50%
Landed
Outside shot
KVC Westerlo or draw
Pre-match: 23%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.