Ribadesella vs SD Noja prediction — Copa del Rey · Sat 26 Sept · 18:00 UK

Copa del Rey · Sat 26 Sept · 18:00 UK
Ribadesella 45Draw 26SD Noja 30
Our call before kickoff
70%
Ribadesella or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Ribadesella beat SD Noja 1–0. Bawler's model had Ribadesella in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRibadesella or draw 70%Ribadesella won (45% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

RibadesellaSD Noja
1.6
Goals+0.3
1.3
RibadesellaSD Noja
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
RibadesellaSD Noja
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Ribadesella to score81%
Over 1.5 goals80%
SD Noja to score73%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Ribadesella
52%
to score before half-time
SD Noja
44%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Ribadesella vs SD Noja?

Ribadesella beat SD Noja 1–0. Bawler's model had Ribadesella in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored.

What was the final score in Ribadesella vs SD Noja?

Ribadesella 1–0 SD Noja, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ribadesella 45%, the draw 26% and SD Noja 30%.

Did both teams score in Ribadesella vs SD Noja?

No. It finished 1–0, so SD Noja failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ribadesella vs SD Noja right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ribadesella or draw 70%, it finished Ribadesella won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Ribadesella
Next up
4 OctASD Noja1–1 D
All fixtures & results →Ribadesella form →SD Noja form →