PORTUGAL: Liga PortugalMonday 10 Aug, 19:15 UTC

Santa Clara vC.D. Nacional

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Santa Clara 43%Draw 34%C.D. Nacional 23%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
69%
How we get there
Santa ClarastepC.D. Nacional
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Draw
23%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Santa Clara average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (20 competitive matches). C.D. Nacional average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Santa Clara fixtures & form →C.D. Nacional fixtures & form →

Santa Clara vs C.D. Nacional — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 11 May 2026, Santa Clara have won 1, C.D. Nacional have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
11 May 2026Santa Clara 2–0 C.D. NacionalPortugal: Primeira Liga

The model's verdict for this fixture: Santa Clara 43% · draw 34% · C.D. Nacional 23%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Santa Clara predictions & form →C.D. Nacional predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Santa Clara 2–2 C.D. Nacional
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.